Aussie households choke on own vomit

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Friday’s private sector credit data from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) revealed that the stock of personal credit, which was already in terminal decline, collapsed by 10.5% in the year to June – the biggest plunge in recorded history:

As shown above, this decline in personal credit growth easily exceeds the troughs of the GFC (-7.8%) and the early 1990s recession (-6.0%).

It also follows a spate of data showing collapsing consumer demand, all of which largely pre-dates the COVID-19 lockdown.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.