Victoria faces $12b economic hit from new lockdown

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With Victoria accounting for around one quarter of the nation’s economy and Melbourne making up 20% of the nation’s population, Commonwealth Bank head of Australian economics, Gareth Aird, says the six-week lockdown in Melbourne is likely to reduce Australia’s GDP growth by about 1% in the September quarter.

While the economic cost of the lockdown to the Victorian economy is uncertain, estimates range from $1 billion to $2.3 billion per week:

Gareth Aird said if Victoria’s gross state product was 10 per cent lower because of the shutdown, Australia’s gross domestic product would be 2.25 per cent lower over that period.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.