Daily iron ore price update (port inventories)

by Chris Becker

Iron ore lifted around 0.5% across the complex compared to the big gains in stocks in China yesterday, the exuberance capped somewhat by the rising port inventories and confirmation that Vale is ready to bring back its lost production in the next quarter.

Here’s the price matrix and daily charts:

More on Vale from ANZ via Reuters:

All eyes remain on Brazilian miner Vale SA and the impact of the country’s rising tally of COVID-19 cases on iron ore production already hampered by a tailings dam disaster last year.

“Vale confirmed it will bring back most of its lost production in the coming months. This gave a signal of easing supply tightness, with rising seaborne trades (expected) in the weeks ahead,” ANZ analysts said in a note.

China’s iron ore port stockpiles, which last month hit the lowest since October 2016, have since steadily climbed to reach 109.75 million tonnes on July 3, based on SteelHome consultancy data.

Iron ore prices are projected to average $79 a tonne, free on board Australia, this year and $65 next year as supply is likely to increase, according to the Australian government’s latest forecast.


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  1. Ukraine fnMEMBER

    Be interesting to see if Ch!na hit Australia with buying more of their iron ore from Brasil once Vale is fully operational.

    • would make sense geopolitically speaking…if only Australia took on some Machiavellian ideals when dealing with the CCP instead of reverting to type…

      • Not a worry. Could only really displace a small percentage of Aussie ore (ie the amount of extra capacity Brazil could pile on once it ramps back up is still only a fairly small portion of our own total exports).

    • We have several friends/acquaintances married into wealthy Chinese families.
      – they are currently stuck in Australia as they have Au passports, and they can’t fly.
      – the Chinese community, at least in Beijing, is being encouraged to buy anything except Australian. Nothing grown,caught,processed here.
      So for these people it is mainly foodstuffs, but it may be more widespread.