Australia dollar dumps as gold jumps

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DXY was up again Friday night and is signaling a rise in risk:

The Australian dollar is starting to fall against all major DMs, more risk-off signal:

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It’s also falling against EMs:

Gold roared back to its break out line:

Oil is hanging in there. I’m turning bearish:

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Dirt was OK:

Miners were hit:

EM stocks are holding on:

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Junk has slipped:

Bonds are bid:

Stocks mostly fell:

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The SPX/AUD correlation is holding:

It’s an interesting mix of price signals. Forex, bonds and gold are clearly beginning to price rising risk, probably associated with a powerful second wave of virus infections. Equities and commodities are still ignoring it but for how long?

It appears increasingly likely that the AUD has topped out in its bear market rally ride.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.