Sydney facing ‘carmageddon’ as schools return

Earlier this week, New South Wales Premier Gladys Berejiklian recommended residents who use public transport “consider different ways to get to work” given “constraints” on capacity during peak hours as social distancing is observed:

“In the past we would have encouraged everybody onto the public transport network but in the COVID environment, we’ll ask you to consider getting dropped off,” she said.

“Buses and trains are pretty much at capacity during the peak so you might want to think about a different way you do your route in the morning.”

The statement coincided with new limits on public transport numbers, with only 32 travellers allowed on each train carriage (normally 123) and only 12 passengers allowed on buses (normally 63).

Accordingly, only 600,000 would be able to use Sydney’s public transport system per day, down from nearly 2 million previously.

Yesterday was the first day of operation of the new rules and already cracks are appearing. Specifically, passenger numbers are already exceeding the government’s new limits, and there is no way to enforce the rules:

Next week marks the return to school, and experts are already warning of ‘carmageddon’:

“We are looking at basically ‘carmageddon’, where all the roads are full with the people that were on buses and trains [but are now] in cars,” University of Technology transport expert Mathew Hounsell said…

“There will be roughly 800,000 people now needing to travel without using public transport, they can’t all go onto the roads,” Mr Hounsell said.

Sydney’s transport systems was already operating at breaking point before COVID-19, thanks to 15 years of extreme immigration-driven population growth. So obviously, they won’t be able to cope with a sudden surge of travellers on roads.

The only solution is for a large chunk of the population to continue working from home. And even then, the transport network will likely grind to a halt.

Leith van Onselen

Comments

        • I was going to say productivity has gone up so much that corporate leaders have just said “wow” and “how can we bottle this?”
          Short answer is that you can’t … much like with adrenaline the body can respond to a threat surprisingly quickly for a bit … but then the oxygen/energy debt catch up and must be paid.
          But I am sure that they will try anyway …anyone who can sell hot-desking to management to save money without mentioning the dumb side effects will clearly have no problem selling some new snake oil based on efficiency.

    • Clearly some prioritisation is needed.

      The appropriate answer is that all public transport and road usage is prioritised to be for Australian citizens first.

      So public transport & road usage access for Australian citizens first.

      Then as second priority, the 1.9 million PR, who are not Australian citizens but are foreign nationals here on a conditional visa.

      And then as very last priority in any public transport of road usage – the 2.6 million TR who are all foreign nationals and the majority in visa breach, (fake or no funds, living and working illegally).
      The majority only here on a visa pretext to steal Australian jobs and to participate in the foreign criminal run black market underground economy.

      Take Sydney as example.
      5.3 million people.
      3.3 million are Australian citizens.
      0.9 million in Sydney are foreign nationals / PR
      1.3 million in Sydney are foreign nationals / TR
      Source ABS.

      Thats 2.2 million non Australian foreign nationals in Sydney.
      Who are overwhelmingly the users of (Australian taxpayer subsidised) public transport in the migrant zones that stretch from the Sydney CBD to the south and then the west & way out west of Sydney.
      44% of Sydney’s population. Nearly half.

      Highly concentrated in vast fetid migrant enclaves and over 70% or more of the users of the west and far west public transport.
      (Try the Town Hall to Leppington train sometime.
      Try to spot the Australian citizen or PR (identifiable by the fact they will almost all be on Opal concession cards v the TR invariably on a black opal card once you get past say Burwood or certainly Lidcombe.

      From that point on its 90% TR – Chinese or Indians, Bangla or Nepalese going to or from their illegal cash in hand work to their illegal cram bunk share housing.
      -/-
      Simple practical measures in prioritising public transport and road usage also assist in the long overdue roundup and deportation of at least 2 million TR (there are 2.6 million TR / non Nz born SCV in Australia on false, invalid or pretext visas now)

      👉🏽Australian Border Force supervised State Police manned checkpoints and sweeps in Sydney.
      Even a modicum of presence and checkpoint checks at say Ashfield, Burwood, Strathfield and certainly Auburn onwards would mean over 3/4 or more of the public transport usage by the migrant guestworker TR would disappear.

      Profiling and detection of the migrant guestworker TR is relatively simple.
      Then a check of their identification, examination of the TR purpose in using our public transport or roads, where exactly were they travelling to & why?

      Then checks on whether they have funds to be in Australia and are they visa compliant & proof of that. Finally what is the source of income, and is their visa pretext still valid. Most will not be.

      Leading to valid grounds for visa cancellation, detainment and then deportation for the vast majority of them.

      Followed up by suburb by suburb and apartment by apartment / house to house sweeps in the migrant zones to gather up the rest who will now attempting to evade detection.

      Into the vans, off to the departure staging points and a shuttle of commandered Qantas, Virgin etc aircraft to return them back to their country of origin.

      Repatriated back to China, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, Korea, Vietnam, the Middle East & Africa.
      The majority of then, in visa breach, without funds, living and working illegally – 2 million of them can be exited in 100 days. (72 flights a day x 280 migrant guestworkers per plane – a nothing for our now empty airport that can handle 80 flights an hour & the idle immigration staff and spare airline capacity that exists)

      -/-

      That will free up and prioritise the usage of our public transport and roads.

      Other benefits.
      Nationally over 500,000 modest ex Australian modest dwellings cleansed of the migrant guestworkers living in squalid cash in hand bunk share.

      200,000 dwellings in just Sydney alone.
      Once disinfected – that housing can be returned to house the Australian citizen homeless (116,000 Australian permanent homeless & 430,000 Australian seeking affordable housing).

      Whole suburbs cleansed of the migrant TR enclaves.

      Nationally, over 2 million jobs stolen by these migrant guestworkers (1 million plus in just Sydney) can be returned back to the Australian unemployed.

      And an Australia freed and cleansed of the social and economic burden created by the migrant guestworkers TR overshoot.

  1. Great, can’t wait for the SMH, ABC & SBS stories on how we should immediately open and increase our international migration to help bust this congestion! I’m sure high speed trail could solve something COVID related…… right?

    • darklydrawlMEMBER

      “high speed trail”… Sounds like an awesome idea for a bicycle path to me! 😀 Seriously, when the traffic is bad it is quicker for me to cycle the 30 kms to the city than drive!

  2. How will they prioritse the limited spots on the train? Residents? Taxpayers? The employed? I can only imagine the bump to toll operators once we flood the roads.

    • Australia citizens with proof of that.
      Then PR (who are foreign nationals)
      Then TR (with proof of identity, funds and that they are not in visa breach)
      That will reduce usage of public transport by half in Sydney.

  3. Yeah so all said and done what this means is, 80% of us are working from home from now on until foreseable future.
    So what i dont get is, with only a fraction of people making it into work each day, what happens to the cafes around the workplaces that require foot traffic to keep open? ANd what happens to the commercial valuations of those properties when those businesses close?
    And what happens to per passenger ticket price when the revenue from cityrail ticket sales is a fraction of what is was before? Qantas already decided that leaving the middle seat empty is cost prohibitive and they just won’t do it.. so what is their responsibility to the rest of the community when the virus spreads due to the way they conduct business? So they make the money, while we suffer the loses of treating the disease.
    This virus is excellent. It’s bringing to light all the parasites and exactly how much their lack of social conscience is costing the rest of us.

  4. rob barrattMEMBER

    And it all points to one thing – eventually you come to the point where you will be forced to choose between your economy/wellbeing and isolation. It only needs 1 case to start a spike. From here on in it’s unknown territory.

  5. Well I’m already hearing of companies that will downsize office space as staff will now only need ho attend the office 2 or 3 days a week, so that should mean less traffic & commuters once people finally fell it’s safe to travel to work

    • That will only work if the 2-3 days are largely meetings, maintaining working relationships, i.e. human stuff. And the days at home are doing the computer based stuff.

  6. as a parent and uncle of small kids I am very VERY worried about the almost enforced return to school. I don’t think it is safe yet. the mixed messages about kids is very concerning – they don’t get it (ABC “expert” idiot) they do get it but dont pass it on (blah blah experts) they do get it but assymptomatci and pass it on but .. some get complications. Well I worry cause what if it is one of my family that gets the life affecting complications. What if I sent them off to school.
    Seems everywhere else in world (ok not the Swedes) been very slow to open schools but not Aussie …

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