Huge bank losses ahead

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The AFR has the wrap:

Banking analysts fear that if the COVID-19 crisis worsens, the cost to the big four banks of bankrolling “Team Australia” could exceed the $10 billion estimated for this year and $35 billion over three years.

Many business customers stung by the economic shutdown are expected to struggle to repay debts when six-month loan deferrals negotiated by the banks and the Morrison government expire. Bank chiefs concede some of these customers may not survive the crisis.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.