Coked-up ASX charges on alone

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Aaaand, we’re off. The Australian dollar is soft this morning:

Bonds are stable:

The coked-up kiddies that trade ASX have the bourse trying to rally despite a weak lead and falling futures:

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Baked brains and bleeding nostrils have Big Iron up:

Big Gas up prematurely:

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Big Gold looking strong:

Big Banks the opposite:

And Big Chunt still way too high:

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The bear market rally is looking quite tired. Or is it the pause that refreshes? The real economy will decide:

JPM:
  • “The global economy is collapsing at a pace not seen since World War Two”
  • “Staggered re-openings of economies until a vaccine is widely available imply more of a U- rather than a V-shaped recovery for the global economy.”
HSBC:
  • “We are likely to see a deeper contraction in 2020 than during the global financial crisis. But so much depends on what comes next: how long the suppression measures last, what medical science can deliver, what further policy support is available”
  • “What is already clear is that this is not just a short-term issue: the medium to long-term implications for global growth, debt levels, public policy and globalization are going to be vast.”
Rabobank:
  • “We are seeing credible claims in the UK and U.S. that millions/tens of millions are going to be unemployed – again taking us back to black-and-white memories of long queues of the jobless holding signs saying ‘Will Work For Food'”

Adieu profits.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.