Youth Labour market sickens

Advertisement

Yesterday’s ABS labour force release for February revealed a mixed outcome for Australia’s youth labour market – i.e. those aged 15 to 24 years old – with annual jobs growth falling, and unemployment and underemployment near record highs. The trend headline unemployment rate rose further to 11.91% in February: Total employment growth for those aged 15-24 years was just 0.7% in February, and has dived over the past year, badly under-performing the rest of the labour market (2.1% growth): Full-time jobs continued to retrench, falling by 2.6% in year to February. By contrast, part-time jobs growth improved to 3.5%: Youth labour force participation bounced to 68.6% but remains way below pre-GFC levels, suggesting substantial hidden youth unemployment still exists: Since the GFC hit 11-plus years ago, overall youth employment has risen by just 2.8% in trend terms, well below the 9.6% lift in the youth population over this time, and full-time jobs are down an incredible 18.5%. By contrast, the overall number of jobs for the rest of the labour force has risen by 24.5%, with full-time employment up 20.4%: Youth underemployment was 17.9% in February, whereas underutilisation was at 30.0%, with both at historically high levels: In a nutshell, the youth labour market remains way oversupplied and faded just as the coronavirus jobs bust approaches.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.