Mortgage arrears stable…for now…

Advertisement

Via Fitch:

Fitch Ratings-Sydney-05 March 2020: Australia’s 30+ days mortgage arrears were down 1bp to 1.06% in 4Q19 from the previous quarter, and 1bp higher from the year earlier; 30+ days arrears have now been below 1.2% for the past two and a half years, says Fitch Ratings in a new report.

The recent bushfires and COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak in China and elsewhere are likely to have only minimal impact on Australian RMBS portfolios. The bushfires occurred in remote or regional areas with low population levels, while the mortgage portfolios typically securing RMBS notes are concentrated in densely populated areas that were not directly affected by the bushfires. The COVID-19 outbreak could indirectly affect arrears performance due to lower incomes stemming from a fall in tourist numbers following the implementation of travel restrictions, but Fitch expects the impact to be negligible.

The full text of this article is available to MacroBusiness subscribers

$1 for your first month, then:
Cancel at any time through our billing provider, Stripe
About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.