CS: Passive investing domino tilting

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From the excellent Damien Boey at Credit Suisse overnight:

Overnight, we saw another incredibly sharp sell-off in equities, while volatility spiked. Interestingly, bonds rallied strongly in the Asian session on the back of the 30% drop in oil prices – but the rally failed to carry through into the close. Interbank liquidity tightened materially, with FRA-OIS spreads widening beyond 50bps, their highest level since March 2018. Corporate credit spreads also widened.

Within equities, we saw:

  1. Pure value detract 1.4% of alpha.
  2. Pure momentum detract 0.24% of alpha.
  3. Selected pure quality factors, such low volatility, low leverage and profitability add around 0.8-0.9% worth of alpha. Other pure quality factors, such as growth and earnings certainty subtracted 0.4% of alpha.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.