Rampant USD saves AUD blushes

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DXY is booming again as EUR crashes:

The Australian dollar is strong but DXY saved its blushes:

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Gold is hanging but must at risk as DXY rampages:

Oil caught a bid:

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And metals:

Plus miners:

And EM stocks:

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Having discounted zero, junk is off and running:

Bonds were bashed:

Stocks euphoric:

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Westpac has the data wrap:

Event Wrap

Eurozone Jan. industrial production reflected the weakness in national releases, contracting 2.1%m/m (est. -2.0%m/m), with the annual rate well below expectations at -4.1%y/y (est. -2.5%y/y).

Event Outlook

RBNZ Governor Orr will speak to the Parliament Select Committee this morning following yesterday’s release of the February MPS.

RBA Governor Lowe will be on a panel at the Australia–Canada Economic Leadership forum, 11:15am AEDT.

US CPI inflation is expected to remain above 2.0% on an annualised basis. The headline rate is expected to lift, but the core rate should remain around 2.3%yr.

And Europe will only get worse as the virus shock lands on its export model risking outright recesssion:

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As the US consumer parties on:

Driven by solid wage growth and cheap energy:

Cheap mortgages:

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Booming houses:

And releveraging:

The US consumer is in rude health.

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We can be thankful that the runaway USD will cap the AUD as the RBA dithers.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.