NSW Government spares wealthy east from migrant deluge

The NSW Planning, Industry and Environment department has upgraded its housing targets, which have lumped more development on Sydney’s migrant-stuffed west while reducing the development load on the wealthy east and northern beaches:

Planning Minister Rob Stokes said development was taking place at different rates in response to planning, infrastructure and market activity…

Areas earmarked for the most development over the next five years include Blacktown (18,700 new dwellings), Parramatta (17,800), City of Sydney (13,650), Cumberland (12,650), Liverpool (12,750), the Hills (12,700), Camden (10,900) and Bayside (10,000)…

The forecasts show 10 times as many homes are expected to be built at Blacktown over the next five years than the northern beaches.

The 1950 new dwellings predicted for the northern beaches represent a 26 per cent fall on the government’s target for the area in 2017.

In contrast, Liverpool in the south-west is forecast to have 12,750 dwellings built over the next five years, a 72 per cent rise on that predicted two years ago.

Western Sydney was already projected to receive the lion’s share future immigration-driven population growth – i.e. an additional 1.2 million people over the next 20 years, according to the Greater Sydney Commission:

Future Sydney residents are also projected to be squeezed into high-rise dog box apartments, according to projections from the Urban Development Institute of Australia:

Back in July 2019, the head of the Greater Sydney Commission (GSC), Lucy Turnbull, outlined an “exciting” future for Western Sydney, which involves being crush-loaded with another 1.2 million people:

GSC’s chief commissioner Lucy Turnbull… said places such as Parramatta and Bankstown represented the “future of Sydney and Australia” with a youthful and diverse population making them “exciting” corners of the wider city…. “1.2 million people in western Sydney in the next 20 years is a reasonable forecast”…

And this proclamation by Lucy Turnbull came despite data showing that Western Sydney is already suffering from severe disadvantage:

Western Sydney can seem a world away from the wealthier, eastern side of the city… “As much as we are strong advocates of western Sydney, we need to be realistic that too many times we are on the wrong side of that line. In terms of per capita lower incomes, below average NAPLAN results and school attendance, higher unemployment and higher rates of preventable disease and hospital admissions” [Christopher Brown, Chairman of the Western Sydney Leadership Dialogue, said].

“Western Sydney is the diabetes capital of the country,” he said. “There are also higher rates of domestic violence which is the shameful secret of western Sydney”.

The wealthy elites living in the city’s east pull the government’s strings.

As shown in the chart above, Lucy Turnbull’s wealthy enclave of Woollahra has the lowest projected population growth in Sydney, followed by Mosman.

So basically, the GSC is running a form of economic apartheid where Western Sydney shoulders the lion’s share of immigration and population growth to provide cheap foreign labour and inflated demand to the wealthy barons in the East.

This model enables the Elites in the East to profit from the rentier services of over-priced ghetto apartments and postage stamp houses, inflated land banks, as well as higher volumes of mortgages and retail sales, while not having to share in the downsides of congestion and eroded amenity.

The best way to stop the mass immigration scam is to force the likes of Lucy Turnbull living in Woollahra and Mosman to be swamped by ugly high-rise developments, alongside the associated congestion.

Sadly, the NSW Government has instead lightened their load.

Unconventional Economist
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  1. Leith, can you define what you mean by dog boxes. For a 2bdr apartment less than how many internal SQM? For a 3bdr less than how many sqm?

  2. Population of Balmain now is about 50% of what it was in the 1920s but no chance the locals will accept a high rise apartment blocks down the ridge line.

    Enough said.

    All those terraces packed with large families are now being used by ageing couples and singles.

    Year – 1910; Population – 31,500
    Year – 1915; Population – 33,000
    Year – 1920; Population – 33,540
    Year – 1986; Population – 10,239
    Year – 1991; Population – 10,915
    Year – 1996; Population – 10,978
    Year – 2001; Population – 13,892


    • It was proposed on Middle Head, when the Navy sold back all its vacant land.
      Needless to say, the good burghers of Mosman stopped it from happening.

  3. boomengineeringMEMBER

    And the Eastern suburbs (Southern side ) are being priced out and moving to Northern Beaches bringing a stuck attitude with them

  4. Sadly, the NSW Government has instead lightened their load.

    Oh yeah! They’ve lightened their load all over those povvo westies. It’s ok, that’s the way they like it.

  5. In the short term I’m happy. In the long term I know we are building an enormous ghetto.
    Also, I suspect owner occupiers are going to be a thing of the past in the West. Even Bob Menzies new that home ownership leads to stability. Home owners don’t riot.
    So we are going to have an enormous ghetto of renters.
    This will not end well.
    Think LA riots.

  6. “to force the likes of Lucy Turnbull living in Woollahra and Mosman to be swamped by ugly high-rise developments, alongside the associated congestion”

    You know there wouldn’t be much of a cost to build the Woollahra train station. It’s already built!! Check it out on google maps. Just follow the train line from Edgecliff to Bondi Junction. There is a platform that they never built the station for – woollahra residents didn’t want it in the 70s as riff raff rides the rails (little has changed!!).

    You could buy out the surrounding mansions, knock em down and build another Bondi Junction there. Just let me buy one of those places before we change the zoning!!!!!