Essential: SmoCo and Albotross neck and neck

Via The Guardian:

Scott Morrison is battling rolling ructions inside his government and sustained opprobrium from voters after a summer of catastrophic fires, and now floods, with the latest Guardian Essential poll confirming the prime minister remains in the political doldrums.

Morrison’s approval stood at 45% at the end of 2019, but slumped five points in January as Australians battled terrible bushfires. This fortnight, Morrison’s approval sits on 39%, and more than half the sample, 52%, disapprove of his performance.

While Morrison led the Labor leader, Anthony Albanese, as preferred prime minister decisively last November (44% to 28%) before disaster struck, the Guardian Essential sample now has the two leaders neck-and-neck on 36%, with 28% unsure.

Problem is, preferred leaders are largely irrelevent to TPP outcomes.

Get back to the proper polling, I say. Being wrong sometimes is aall a part of it.

David Llewellyn-Smith
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  1. Gee, Anthony Albanese is a dead-set legend. Perhaps if Scott Morrison is found to be an arsonist who is maintaining a cellar of underaged sex slaves and taking shipments of cocaine in diplomatic pouches from Columbia, the political fortunes of Mr Albatross might improve further?

    The pathology of the ‘race to the bottom’ is that the political alternative just waits for the self destruction of the incumbent. Such lazy and moribund politics sets the downward trajectory for absolutely everything. Anthony Albanese isn’t the bottom of the barrel, he’s a sign that the bottom has dropped out of the ALP barrel altogether and anything of value has drained out.

    Some 30 years of bipartisan neoliberalism has selected a talentless parliament. When your entire political life has been spent trying to give power away to free markets, you have no experience at governing to serve the people. Like an atrophied muscle, conviction politics has wasted and they keep injecting it with the botox of spin, past glory and zinger-like repartee.

    It is such an apt title and metaphor, as the ALP has the albatross of its own policy folly tied around its neck – like the UK Labour Party it no longer represents working values. In fact, it is repulsed by them and clings to identitarian ideals like a life raft. It will not and cannot reform as it simply lacks the will to do so and has no compass anyway. You can’t teach an old neoliberal dog new tricks.

  2. Morrison has time to recover but must have mistake free governing. Ministers and Nats blowing themselves up is par for course, but no more holidays in a crisis, no more tin earned dealings. Wuhan flu gives him a chance to redeem himself and after he sealed the borders, set up quarantine and flew home citizens he finally got a few ticks. More required.
    Both sides struggled since Howard because the usual retirements and new blood of a long opposition period has not happened with governments looking like they could fall anytime. So the old faces we kicked out and rejected in past elections get served up again for the next poll … which is not appetizing to voters. Both sides have this problem now. ALP ought to be hopeful at the next poll based on electoral cycle, but the same old faces are going to be a problem.

    • Unless we see radical policy reform, Labor won’t govern Australia again.

      Given they omitted certain policies from their election thumping review, there’s not a lot of hope for Labor.