Australian dollar, markets ignore China’s viral spiral

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The Australian dollar shurgged off the news of the suddenly much worse COVID-19:

Bonds whimpered:

XJO came off a little and has a terrific set up for a mighty double-top but it looks more likely to just keep going. S&P futures are down modestly:

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Iron ore is, amazingly, up again. There must be some restocking going because this makes no sense in context:

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Big Iron registered the viral surge with a blip:

Big Gas is up with oil. I can’t see any rebound in travel in the near future:

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Big Gold continues to disappoint:

The Ponzi is great place to hide:

There is some reason for the optimism. New cases in Hubei outside of reclassification fell again. But rest of China jumped and that is more of a concern.

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Some of it can also be explained by a euphoric Phil Lowe:

  • outlook for the Australian economy is improving
  • coronavirus is having an uncertain impact, but absent the virus Oz outlook improving
  • virus having a major impact on education, tourism sectors
  • Chinese policy stimulus will be a positive for Australia
  • low interest rates are working, going to take time
  • says he is not obsessed with getting inflation back to target in a hurry

Perhaps he should be obsessed with the clear damage being wrought upon the economy before his very eyes.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.