The next RBA meeting remains very live

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Yesterday, a bunch of banks pushed back their rate cut expectations following the supposedly “strong” jobs report. Let’s get a few things clear about that.

The jobs report was not strong. It was weak. The only question is: was it weak enough. Although the headline unemployment rate eased a touch, full time jobs have disappeared for three straight months:

This is typical of Australia’s informal kurzarbeit labour market which leans more towards cutting hours and job sharing than headcount cuts. During the GFC part time jobs boomed, was that a great time for employment?

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.