Macro Afternoon

See the latest Australian dollar analysis here:

Macro Afternoon

A mixed end to the trading week here in Asia as risk positions for tonight’s US unemployment print that will set the tone for the rest of January, post the Iranian crisis. Meanwhile, the PBOC daily Yuan fix saw another drop in offshore trading while the latest retail sales print pushed the Aussie dollar slightly higher.

The Shanghai Composite is putting in a scratch session, currently down nearly 0.2% to 3090 points, while the Hang Seng Index is hovering along without much upside, finishing only 0.2% higher at 28603 points, still well supported:

Japanese share markets simmered down, in sympathy with the slowdown in the Yen selloff against USD with the Nikkei 225 putting in a modest 0.4% return to 23833 points. The four hourly chart of the USDJPY pair shows this deceleration back up to the previous post Xmas breakdown highs:

The ASX200 was instead the best in the region, making a new record high by closing 0.8% higher to 6929 points. Go stocks!  The Australian dollar remains stuck in a holding pattern but still managed to put on a few points post the surprising uptick in November retail sales – but the four hourly chart remains poised here:

Both S&P and Eurostoxx futures are suggesting another higher tonight, making more record highs as all the shorts are wiped out:

The economic calendar will focus squarely on tonights NFP/US unemployment print. Have a good weekend!


  1. a record 211,723 people won the right to call Australia home in 2019

    I thought Scummo cut the immigration rate to 160,000?

    ‘Network effect’

    The nepotism effect. We need a per country cap on immigration.

  2. TailorTrashMEMBER

    I have always found Indonesia to be a little dark and mysterious…..perhaps their Dutch versus familiar British
    colonial history…….hopefully the Chinese are going to find similar ..,,,.a moment of truth might be approaching for straya …..Scomo might need to to pile in … many of our friends in Asia will follow ….(discounted for corruption of course )

    • ErmingtonPlumbingMEMBER

      First thing I thought of when that Iranian Boeing crash happened was, did the Iranians themselves set up this crash to damage a major American Exporter as part of the payback for the Assassination of that General bloke.

      • The board did exactly what the ‘shareholders’ wants : stop development of new plane and use the money to buy back shares instead. After the first crash, Boeing issued a directive to the pilots telling them how the MCAS problem can be fixed. That directive is written by management rather than a pilot or engineer. When the pilots of ETH302 followed that directive after a bird strike removed their AoA sensor, the plane still crashed. That is why the plane is grounded. Plenty of planes still fly with known safety issues, but no plane still flying when the manufacture directive to bypass the safety issue crashes the plane.

        I expect Boeing to file for bankruptcy next year.

  3. “We don’t want job-destroying, economy-destroying, economy-wrecking targets and goals, which won’t change the fact that there have been bushfires or anything like that in Australia”, Morrison told Sydney radio, 2GB.

    What the serious fvck? Does the cvnt not comprehend the rampant destruction of lives, property, flora, fauna and regional economies that’s occuring tight at this very moment that was predicted some 11 years ago? These regional economies are now trashed you sack of sh1t and you don’t give a fvck because you’re protecting the coal lobby come hell or high water. The most deficient human to ever occupy the office of Prime Minister.

    • I was gonna say Ms Townsend will need to find a new job soon for not having enough of a go. But she has already quit. So I guess it’s easier to be honest when you’re already on the way out. Shame but it’s similar in most organisations.

    • From my perspective, this goes a long way in confirming what we’ve all suspected about News Corp in being they’re a sh1t organisation who’ll spread lies and deceit so long as it’s a means to an end.

    • Mining BoganMEMBER

      So I read through it first thinking the disclosure would be at the bottom. Whole article was a hotchpotch mess. Then I found the disclosure and read it again. Still a mess even when seeing the light.

      Just like reading the Australian it was.


    How Australia’s bushfires spread: mapping the east coast fires … Nick Evershed … The Guardian

    It has been a devastating fire season in Australia, with millions of hectares burned, lives lost and almost 2,000 properties destroyed.

    Long-term drought conditions and record temperatures have combined with strong winds to create catastrophic fire conditions, resulting in widespread devastation in almost every state.

    However, it is hard to grasp the geographic scale and speed with which the fires spread. For example, the Gospers Mountain fires north of Sydney have covered more than 1m hectares, and a record 4.9m hectares have been burnt in New South Wales this season so far. … read more via hyperlink above …
    Australia urges a quarter of a million to flee as winds fan massive bushfires … Reuters / CNBC

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