As we have noted many times in the recent past, households have stopped spending and started saving. Authorities have been taken by surprise by this, assuming that the welasth effect would kick in quickly with tax cuts lending a hand.
Instead we have seen massive equity injection as households have bunkered:
We see this as structural at the zero bound. Highly indebted households are unhappy with life without the RBA insurance policy. They see low rates as a chance to pay off debt faster.
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