Australia’s mortgage rebound solidifies

Advertisement

Today’s housing finance data for September from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) recorded a continued rebound in mortgage commitments:

As shown above, total finance commitments (excluding refinancings) rose by 1.3% in September, with owner-occupied commitments rising 3.2%, more than offsetting a 4.0% fall in investor commitments.

However over the year, total finance commitments (excluding refinancings) fell by 2.7%, with investor commitments tanking by 13.0% but owner-occupied rising by 1.4%.

Advertisement

First home buyer (FHB) commitments fell by 1.9% in number terms and by 2.0% in value terms in September. Over the year, FHB commitments were up by 6.8% (number) and by 16.9% (value):

FHB’s share of Australian mortgages (excluding refinancings) fell to 28% by number and 25% by value:

Advertisement

New home finance (construction and new combined) rose by 0.8% over September and was up by 0.2% year-on-year:

Advertisement

As you can see, increased demand for purchases has been largely offset by lower demand for construction.

Finally, the below chart tracks the annual growth in the value of finance commitments (-2.7%) in trend terms, and shows both owner-occupied finance (+1.4%) and investor finance growth (-13.0%) are showing an improving trend:

Advertisement

The above data shows is further evidence of Australia’s property recovery, given growing new mortgage demand is the key driver of rising prices.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.