Shadow RBA endorses monetary madness

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The broken record screeches again:

Australia’s inflation rate, at 1.6% (June quarter), remains well below the Reserve Bank of Australia’s official target range of 2-3%. The unemployment rate rose slightly to 5.3% in August, while real wage growth remains low at 0.7%. The RBA Shadow Board’s conviction that the cash rate should remain at the historically low rate of 1% has fallen from 71% to 65%, while the confidence in a required rate cut has increased from 14% to 24% and the confidence in a required rate hike has fallen from 14% to 11%.

Based on ABS figures for August, the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in Australia ticked up to 5.3%. The labour force participation rate also edged up to 66.2%. Total employment rose by nearly 35,000 but there was a drop in full time employment of more than 15,000. There were no new data on wages growth.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.