Weak retail sales will contribute little to Q2 GDP

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Friday’s retail sales figures released by the ABS will contribute little to June quarter GDP when the national accounts are released early next month.

As noted then, seasonally adjusted monthly sales rose by 0.4% in the month of June to be up just 2.5% over the year, with a clear downtrend evident:

In quarterly real chain volume terms, retail sales grew by 0.2% in the June quarter, which was above the March quarter’s 0.1% decline:

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.