It’s official: Coalition’s migrant visa cuts are a lie

Earlier this week, immigration minister David Coleman gave a speech to the Sydney Institute where spruiked the Coalition’s 30,000 cut to Australia’s non-humanitarian permanent migrant visa intake in order to reduce congestion in the major cities:

…in recent years, we have reduced our annual permanent migration intake. Population pressure in Sydney and Melbourne in particular has been very substantial, with growth of 18 and 25 percent respectively between 2006 and 2016. This has led to real and legitimate concerns about congestion in our major cities.

In March, we announced that the cap on the annual migration intake will be reduced from 190,000 to 160,000 for the 2019/20 year. And we’ve announced a range of measures that will encourage migrants to settle in regional Australia, further reducing the population pressure on Sydney and Melbourne.

Yesterday, the Australian Bureau of Statistics released its monthly overseas arrivals and departures data, which showed that net long-term arrivals were just under 300,000 in the year to June, and have risen more than 50,000 over the past three years:

As you can see, there is a strong correlation between the monthly net long-term arrivals data and Australia’s official quarterly Net Overseas Migration (NOM), which is current to December 2018. Therefore, the recent uplift in net long-term arrivals suggests that NOM will rise significantly in the immediate future.

It is worth also pointing out that the April Federal Budget projected an increase in NOM over the forward estimates:

Moreover, the Budget projected massive population increases for both NSW (600,000) and VIC (650,000), with the overwhelming majority of this growth to flow to Sydney and Melbourne:

The reason for the disconnect between the Morrison Government’s “congestion busting” rhetoric around cutting immigration and the reality of increasing NOM is obvious: the government has opened the floodgates to temporary migrants, whose visas on issue have risen by around 540,000 over the Coalition’s reign:

The biggest drivers of this increase in temporary visas are international student visas (280,000) and bridging visas (110,000).

Whatever the case, the official migration figures have exposed the Morrison Government’s immigration lies.

Unconventional Economist
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Comments

    • water is actually quite dry in the bush where SoMo wants to send more migrants because he doesn’t like them in the shire

      • Today’s paper said Warragamba is at its lowest level since 2004. No mention of the more than 1,000,000 people crammed into Sydney since then. Our politico-media elite are just cretins.

  1. darklydrawlMEMBER

    They are still persisting with their ‘Migrants to the regions’ brainfart, a policy which has been proven to be unworkable over the last 200 years. Good luck finding the water for all those people – even if they could persuded them to live out in the sticks for any extended period of time. Idiots. Of course – no one has asked the citizens who live out there if they want MOAR people.

    • MountainGuinMEMBER

      To be fair, I’m not sure regional, town or city folk were asked if they wanted MOAR record and continuous population growth.

      • I’m sure there are many regional businesses that are slavering over the cost optimisation opportunities it will bring them.

      • MountainGuinMEMBER

        True St J. The water carting and bore drilling firms will need alot more low cost workers

    • Like the ABC’s Australian Story and Landline spruiking the success of migrants moving to the bush, but unwilling to report that these migrants move back to the cities for better medical facilities.

    • Another sweet opportunity to declare that migration benefits Australia and lie about controlling it.

      • That was my first thought too but apparently it may have been triggered by backbencher dissent, so perhaps some small hope.

      • Hope is your mistake.

        What, you don’t think that they want to lie to and silence the backbenchers just as much as they want to do that to society at large?

        Parliament is just a microcosm of Australia. The backbenchers are like the electorate – life would be better without them, but unfortunately you need to have them and bring them along in order to secure power. Feed them just enough.

      • “Parliament is just a microcosm of Australia. The backbenchers are like the electorate – life would be better without them, but unfortunately you need to have them and bring them along in order to secure power. Feed them just enough.”
        Far too true, replace backbenchers with party members and it rings just as true, Pity Ermo hasn’t got the memo yet.

    • A sop to an increasingly agitated population. Pretend they’re doing something and then don’t do anything at all when the fuss blows over. Hopefully a major crisis blows up somewhere else in the world to take people’s minds off the fact they’re swamped by vibrants

  2. Meanwhile, Good Old Albo has broken the shackles and thrown all caution to the winds, demanding nothing less than a ‘mature debate’ on population. At this dizzy speed, he’ll smash the government, at the 2050 election.

  3. Good to see the MB logic & stats is getting closer to the ugly reality of the migrant intake issue.

    It’s actually 2.561 million TR / SCV (source DHA & VisaSure April 2019).
    And that’s only half the third world influx that has particularly saturated our 2 main cities.

    Did you know that 44% of the people in Sydney and Melbourne are now non Australian foreign passport holding nationals?
    Rapidly trending towards being half the population of both cities.
    We have migrant guestworkers than Gaddafi at his peak.

    Snapshot.
    🔻1.9 milllion PR third world unskilled dependent useless. Primarily Chinese & Indians on sole passport staying as foreign nationals but sucking up our Medicare & Welfare. The rest? A influx of third world unskilled & dependent (78%) south East Asian Bangla, Pak, Nepalese, Middle Eastern & African
    Absolute scrapings / bottom of the barrel stuff.

    🔻plus 2.561 million TR/SCV with 1.4 million on a pretext visa or in living & working illegally in visa breach. Over 90% in Sydney & Melbourne.
    Detailed here before.

    🔻plus 440,000 Tourist Visitors working illegally (5% of the 8.8 million TV yearly – mostly Chinese & Indians or North & South East Asian etc – trafficked in to work illegally in vice or factories construction or rural work)
    Same concentration.

    🔻plus 65,000 overstayers / same.

    -> So that’s 5 million third world unskilled non Australian foreign nationals onshore.

    90% or 4.5 million are in Sydney & Melbourne (ABS)

    Sydney & Melbourne pop = 10.2 million (ABS)

    So 44% of Sydney & Melbourne are non Australian foreign nationals & migrant guestworkers on some visa pretext.

  4. Wasnt the gross migrant intake for the past 12 months 770,000? Thank God so many people left or we’d be screwed.