Below are the latest charts, derived from CoreLogic data, plotting annual sales volumes across Australia’s capital cities to April 2019:
Sydney (-46%), Melbourne (-38%), Brisbane (-30%), and Perth (-37%) are all down massively from their most recent peaks, whereas across the combined capitals sales are down 34%. In fact, the last time annual sales volumes were this low was in September 1996.
The following charts plot the annual changes in sales volumes and dwelling values, as measured by CoreLogic, which shows a very strong correlation:
That said, the sales volumes data lags the dwelling price data by three months and precedes the May Federal Election. According to CoreLogic’s August chart pack, transaction volumes have begun to rebound:
The state governments will be hoping this is true, because the collapse in sales volumes in the primary driver of the stamp duty bust that is wrecking their budgets.