Rising international student departures to slow immigration

Chief population ponziteer, professor Peter McDonald, has accused the Morrison Government of overestimating immigration forecasts used to prepare the April 2019 Budget, primarily by underestimating international student departures. McDonald says this would mean that net overseas migration (NOM) will be lower than predicted, which in turn means that population growth will be lower. From The ABC:

Peter McDonald, a professor of demography at the University of Melbourne, said Australia could expect a surge in departures of students after they finished their degrees.

“I suspect the numbers in this table may underestimate the student departures out to 2022,” he said.

“That means net overseas migration will be lower than what is projected in these numbers, and then population growth will be lower.”

I agree with Peter McDonald here. Unless temporary migrants can transition to permanent residency, they will eventually have to leave Australia; although this could take many years, as evidenced by the explosion in bridging visas:

That is, the rapid rise in temporary student visas over the past six years – whose numbers have roughly doubled – should result in a lagged rise in international student departures over the Budget forward estimates:

Therefore, while immigration into Australia will remain turbo-charged, it is unlikely to be at the insane levels forecast in the April Federal Budget.


  1. boomengineeringMEMBER

    Tried to use Arrow2’s last week’s ticks to be first but doubted my knowledge of which day it was when no WE links.

  2. You guys are cheering Chinese students leaving, but they are 50/50 male/female, all that will be left are the 75% male Indians, low average IQ and corrupt.

    What is it that makes Indians such sex pests? The countries Iranians, Burmese, Kazakhs despite being neighbours aren’t nearly as bad.

    • The “show bobs and vagene” meme isn’t a joke for nothing. No idea why, but the countries repeted violent rapes of locals and tourists and lack of desire to do anything about it is worrying.

  3. DominicMEMBER

    “Rising international student departures to slow immigration”

    Tell me I’m dreaming

  4. Reading this on my phone and its full of ads on how to get PR and Citizenship. Depressing. We need some of the migration centres to get hit.


    As the value of a Degree from an Australian University falls the number of international students arriving will reduce and the number leaving will increase, throw in a faltering economy and rising unemployment, even the ability to get residency for students will not be enough to attract them or to keep them.
    It’s going to take more than insane immigration and a few prayers from Morrison to rescue the Australian economy