Can we trust Newspoll?

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Via William Bowe:

The Australian has reported the result with its characteristic bullish confidence, precisely attributing the Coalition’s 1.5% improvement as compared with the election result to the “passage of the government’s $158 billion income tax cuts, drought funding package and national security legislation”.

YouGov Galaxy principal David Briggs also seemed hesitant to concede that anything had been seriously amiss in a column shortly after the election, in which he argued the company’s seat polls and state-level results offered “crucial evidence” that should have alerted commentators to a tighter race than their consensus suggested.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.