BlackRock: Australian dollar to 0.65 cents

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Via Bloomie:

The Aussie will extend this year’s decline and probably fall as low as 65 U.S. cents next year, said Craig Vardy, head of fixed income for Australia in Sydney at BlackRock, which oversees $6.52 trillion. The Reserve Bank of Australia will keep easing as the economy cools and U.S.-China tensions weigh on global growth, he said.

“I’ve no doubt that the RBA wouldn’t have an issue taking the cash rate below 1%,” Vardy said. The central bank wants to see lower unemployment and higher inflation, and is “probably willing to push a little harder to get some traction,” he said.

His other reasons include less Fed cuts than the RBA, trade tensions getting worse not better, an inflation spike owing to tariffs and ongoing falling Australian house prices.

I’ll buy the first two and enough of the second to trigger four rate cuts. Inflation, lol.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.