Australian households freeze in seven year economic winter

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By Leith van Onselen

The March quarter national accounts was another shocker for Australian households.

According to the ABS, the real average compensation per employee rose by only 1.5% in the year to March 2019, and was 3.2% lower than March 2012:

Yesterday, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) also released real household disposable income (HDI) data, derived from the March quarter national accounts, which revealed that real per capita HDI fell by 0.8% over the year.

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The below chart tracks quarterly real per capita HDI:

As you can see, quarterly real per capita HDI has fallen by 1.1% since December 2011!

Below is the same chart presented on a 4QMA basis:

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Here, real per capita HDI has fallen by 0.4% since June 2012.

To add further insult to injury, the growth in real per capita HDI so far this decade remains anaemic at just 0.58% per annum, which is way lower than the 1960s (2.29%), 1970s (1.84%), 1980s (0.91%), 1990s (1.31%), and 2000s (3.23%):

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Just another indicator of Australia’s ‘lost decade’ meme, which MB has warned about throughout.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.