Australian dollar belted with commosites

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DXY firmed last night as EUR eased:

AUD flamed and fell all the way back:

EMs were better too:

Gold fell:

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And oil:

Plus metals:

Big miners were hit:

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EM stocks too:

As US junk flies:

Treasuries sold:

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And bunds:

Aussie bonds are still hung up:

Stocks were roughly flat:

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So, the AUD still can’t get off its knees. I still see it under further downwards pressure. US out-performance is not done. Financial conditions have eased considerably:

The property market is responding:

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And inflation is contained but still around:

Though there is further slowing ahead in the industrial economy:

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By comparison, Europe is still faring worse. With tighter financial conditions:

Less inflation:

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And more downside for industry:

US growth out-performance means a strong DXY versus EUR which weighs on EMs and commodites. The AUD cannot recover until or unless European and global growth overtakes the US.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.