US growth exceptionalism not over

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Via FTAlphaville:

For most of 2018, US assets were exceptional. Thanks to a hefty dose of fiscal stimulus from the Trump administration, the economy surged at a time when growth elsewhere was slowing down. And when the Fed moved to further tighten monetary policy — as the likes of the ECB and BOJ held firm — the dollar advanced, rattling many emerging market countries whose currencies depreciated as a result.

But despite the Fed joining other global central bankers in turning dovish this week and China’s stimulus measures finally kicking in, the US could hold on to that exceptionalism for just a bit longer.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.