How NSW Liberals sucker punched first home buyers

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By Leith van Onselen

An article in Wolfstreet reminded me of an infamous statement by NSW Planning Minister, Anthony Roberts, where he claimed purchasing a Sydney property was a one-way ticket to wealth:

Below are the juiciest quotes from the article, published in February 2017, which MB comprehensively destroyed:

“Once you are in the Sydney housing market you are pretty well set then for the rest of your life”…

“We are not dealing with a bubble in the Sydney market… There is no bubble here. There might be a slowing down of growth. But the way the population is moving, and the population trending, which is upwards, you will find house prices will continue to rise”.

“What I want to do is to get people into the market place and then they can be beneficiaries of the increase in the value of their property.”

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At the time, Sydney’s dwelling values had hit an insane 9.1 times household incomes, according to CoreLogic, up from 6.7 in 2012:

Shortly afterwards making these comments, the NSW Government implemented stamp duty exemptions for first home buyers (FHB) from 1 July 2017, which led to a surge in demand:

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Since the NSW Government introduced its FHB bribe, this is what has happened to Sydney dwelling values:

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That’s right, Sydney’s dwelling values have plummeted by more than 13%, according to CoreLogic!

This means that many of the FHBs enticed into Sydney’s bubble are now facing negative equity.

The NSW Government sucker-punched FHBs.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.