Australian dollar defies data crash

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The Australian dollar just won’t take the hint today as Australian data deteriorates fast though it has formed something of a bearish descending triangle pattern:

It’s bad news is good news for the ASX as local profits fall away as well and the bourse piles it on:

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But for that to make sense bond yields should be falling and they’ve bounced:

What’s happening, I think, is some kind of Fed and PBOC boom mentality has taken hold despite the underlying reality and money is now just chasing money. See iron ore:

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And Big Iron:

Plus Big Gas:

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Though Big Gold has dumped as the boom is back:

Meanwhile, Big Banks are climbing into their historic bust:

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As is Big Realty:

Watch bond yields. They can’t keep rising along with the ASX for bad news is good news to hold.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.