Credit Suisse: Jobs “cold comfort for RBA”

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Not least because they point backwards while leading indicators are in the toilet. More from Damein Boey at CS:

The unemployment rate remained steady at 5%.

Overall, a very strong jobs number. But cold comfort for the RBA, given that employment is a lagging indicator, and the weight of evidence is pointing to a very sharp slowdown in domestic demand. We note that the CBA composite PMI has plunged below the break-even 50 level in February, consistent with the stagnation signal from our proprietary activity tracker.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.