Aussie house price crash accelerates into 2019

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By Leith van Onselen

CoreLogic’s dwelling price results were released for December, with revealed another 1.34% decrease in values recorded over the month at the 5-city level:

It was the 15th consecutive monthly decline in home values, with values down a cumulative 7.2% over that period at the 5-city level:

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Quarterly values also dived another 2.9%, with the trend worsening:

Over the December quarter, values were down heavily across Sydney, Melbourne and Perth:

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In the 2018 calendar year, home values crashed by 6.4% at the 5-city level, driven by Sydney (-8.9%) and Melbourne (-7.0%):

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The next chart, which tracks trend annual price growth, shows a collapsing trend driven by Sydney, Melbourne and Perth:

Similarly, the below chart tracks price growth on a quarterly basis, with the same three markets collapsing:

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Sydney has already followed Perth into double-digit peak-to-trough falls, with Melbourne following:

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And the pace of decline is both steep and accelerating in Sydney and Melbourne:

The crash is on like Donkey Kong!

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.