Goldman, Merrill pile into housing bust

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Via Goldman first:

The changes make property investing less attractive from a cash flow perspective, but negatively geared rental properties are already an unattractive asset from a cash flow perspective.

The impact of the lower capital gains discount is somewhat more important, but we note this only binds when price growth is positive. This means that, from an individual’s perspective, leveraged property investment will remain attractive if property prices are expected to rise and unattractive if prices are expected to remain flat/decline – regardless of the ALP’s proposed changes.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.