UBS: Aussie banks still un-investable

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Via the always excellent Jonathon Mott at UBS today:

(1) ‘Underlying’ revenue fell -1.3% (h/h); (2) NIM was down 7bp to 199bp; (3) Average Interest Earning assets grew just 1.4% as the banks further tightened underwriting and continued to run off low yielding institutional assets; (4) Fee income and markets revenue were weaker; (5) ‘Underlying’ costs rose 1.9% (h/h) given ongoing investment, compliance and regulatory spend, which more than offset productivity savings; (6) This left ‘Underlying’ Pre-Provision Profits down 3.6% (h/h); (7) Credit impairment charges fell to just 11bp – the lowest ever recorded.

Book pricing is cheap but no good if the assets are dodgy and the forward P/E is still only average:

Yet to be discounted, profit growthless banks with massive payout ratios for huge dividends on record low provisions entering a housing adjustment, regulatory crunch and legal imbroglio.

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Now that’s a short!

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.