BIS projects ludicrous commercial property returns

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Some serious drivel at the AFR today from BIS Oxford:

Office towers, shopping centres and industrial sheds have shown returns in Sydney and Melbourne of between 12 per cent and 18 per cent over the last five years but that range is likely to be halved in the next five years, according to BIS Oxford’s forecasts.

…”Investment is becoming harder as the tailwind from falling bond rates turns into a headwind, and as the leasing and property cycles turn,” Dr Gelber said.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.