Of course the US dollar is going to tumble

Advertisement

Via Bloomie:

Ulf Lindahl, chief executive officer of AG Bisset Associates, predicts the dollar will plunge about 40 per cent against the euro by 2024. The currency manager’s reasoning is straightforward-since the 1970s, the dollar has been repeating a 15-year cycle of losses and gains, and the pattern is replaying now. To some, Lindahl’s call may seem outlandish and his reasoning overly simple. But after last year’s 9 per cent slide-and with Bridgewater Associates’ Ray Dalio in September predicting a dramatic dollar drop-Lindahl’s view may not be as far out as it once appeared.

“We should see a very substantial decline in the dollar,” the 64-year-old says in an interview in August at his five-person office in Norwalk, Connecticut. “It has massive implications for all the financial markets,” potentially triggering a sell-off in stocks and a rally in commodity prices. Investors piled into the greenback this year, boosting it almost 2 per cent as US growth outpaced that of its global peers and the Federal Reserve raised interest rates.

The full text of this article is available to MacroBusiness subscribers

$1 for your first month, then:
Cancel at any time through our billing provider, Stripe
About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.