The lift in the Coalition’s primary vote to 36 per cent marks a three-point jump from the 10-year low of 33 per cent recorded in the days following the August 24 spill that ended Malcolm Turnbull’s leadership. It is still six points down on the July 2016 election result, which returned the Coalition to government but with a single-seat majority.
A corresponding three-point hit to Labor’s primary vote in this latest poll has seen popular support fall from a 10-year high of 42 per cent two weeks ago to 39 per cent. This has led to a two-point improvement in the two-party-preferred vote for the Coalition, which now trails Labor by 46 to 54.
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David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal.
He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
