Markets shift to trade war boom for Australia

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Kind of. The Australian dollar is up and away as China’s Li Keqiang makes soothing noises today:

Aussie bonds are getting hosed. The short end even threatening to break out. Great buying for mine:

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ASX is up modestly:

Dalian too:

It’s all about dirt as markets shift to incorporate more Chinese stimulus. Big Iron is jumping:

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Happy to say we picked up some RIO recently.

Big Gas is up, perhaps on LNG tariffs:

Big Gold has warmed:

Big Mortgage is struggling with rising bond yields. Herein lies the trouble for any sustained rally in the ASX:

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Big Realty is struggling:

And a bonus chart. ASX growth stock bubble bursting as AUD rises?

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I do not think that this is paradigm shift. Perhaps a tradable rally. But it is what I’ve been talking about recently with miners likely to come back into fashion as China’s trade war response shaped up.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.