Ain’t no housing crash ‘ere!

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The wagons begin to circle as house price falls accelerate. ME Bank chief executive Jamie McPhee says no crash is coming, via AFR:

“I don’t believe in the doomsday scenarios where house prices will fall up to 40 per cent,” said the boss of the industry fund-owned bank. “But there was some exuberance in house prices and I do think they will come off for the next year or two to the same degree and that’s not necessarily a bad thing.”

A round of out-of-cycle rate rises by the majors following rises by smaller banks including ME threatened to place further pressure on house prices, however Mr McPhee said that conditions are unlikely to deteriorate.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.