A special Snap SMS Morgan Poll conducted with a cross-section of more than 2,000 Australian electors today (Thursday August 23) shows Deputy Liberal Leader Julie Bishop has easily the strongest performance against Opposition Leader Bill Shorten in a head-to-head matchup while fellow leadership aspirant Scott Morrison is in a virtual ‘dead-heat’ with Shorten.
Liberal Leadership contenders vs. Opposition Leader Bill Shorten
Julie Bishop (64%) cf. Bill Shorten (36%).
Malcolm Turnbull (54%) cf. Bill Shorten (46%).
Bill Shorten (50.5%) cf. Scott Morrison (49.5%).
Bill Shorten (62%) cf. Peter Dutton (38%).
All ‘can’t say’ and ‘don’t know’ responses have been removed from these results to make them directly comparable.
Better Prime Minister: Julie Bishop v Bill Shorten
Analysis by Gender – Bishop leads shorten easily amongst both women and men
Men: Bishop 62.5% cf. Shorten 37.5%. Lead to Ms. Bishop 25%;
Women: Bishop 65.5% cf. Shorten 34.5%. Lead to Ms. Bishop 31%…
Better Prime Minister: Scott Morrison v Bill Shorten
Analysis by Gender – Morrison leads amongst men while Shorten leads amongst women
Men: Morrison 53% cf. Shorten 47%. Lead to Mr. Morrison 6%;
Women: Shorten 54% cf. Morrison 46%. Lead to Mr. Shorten 8%…
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness.
Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.