Capital Economics: House price falls steepening

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Via David Uren today:

Analysis by KPMG shows investors are the “marginal” buyers who dictate the prices. The firm estimates that every 10 per cent increase in lending to investors in Sydney translates to a 2.2 per cent rise in prices.

Investors had reached 45 per cent of new mortgages in late 2014, up from a more normal level of around a third. In Sydney, investor buying represented closer to 60 per cent of new loans at the peak.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.