Weak auction clearances point to “deteriorating” house prices

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CoreLogic released its auction report yesterday, which reported a small rebound in the preliminary national auction clearance rate to 56.7% from 59.1% last weekend (later revised down to 54.9%).

The preliminary clearance rate was also way below the 69.8% recorded in the same weekend of last year:

Auction volumes nationally were 1,692 – way below the 2,064 recorded in the same weekend last year:

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Once revised the numbers nationally are likely to fall into the low-50s.

Preliminary clearances in Sydney (-11.3%), Melbourne (-19.9%), Brisbane (-14.9%), Adelaide (-5.4%), Perth (-10.0%), and Canberra (-23.7%) were all lower than the same weekend last year.

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The table shows the breakdown by houses and units:

Domain’s less comprehensive auction results were similarly weak, with a huge number of unreported auctions:

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There’s more correction ahead in these numbers. Via the AFR:

SQM Research’s Louis Christopher said…Anecdotally, sellers are showing more signs of capitulating and a willingness to meet where the market is now at, according to Mr Christopher.

“I’ve been hearing this more and more from sellers: ‘I just want to get out. I’ve been holding too long, I want out.'”

…But in Mr Christopher’s view, Melbourne is a market which is still deteriorating…That’s quite weak for Melbourne. The level suggest housing prices are still falling in Melbourne.”

They’re still falling everywhere.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.