Services PMI roars into superboom

Advertisement

Hmm, grain of salt time, via AIG:

• The Australian Industry Group Australian Performance of Services Index (Australian PSI® ) rose 4.0 points to a record high 63.0 points (seasonally adjusted), indicating a faster rate of expansion in June compared to May. Results above 50 points indicate expansion, with higher numbers indicating stronger growth rates.

• The Australian PSI® has indicated positive conditions (results above 50 points) for sixteen consecutive months, and stable or expansionary results for 21 months.

• All of the activity sub-indexes in the Australian PSI® were positive (results over 50 points) in June 2018. New orders returned similar results to May, while sales moderated slightly but remained elevated. Employment accelerated with this sub-index up in June and marking thirteen months of expanding employment in the Australian PSI® . Supplier deliveries were strong, while inventories rose into growth in June.

• Capacity utilisation across the Australian PSI® fell just over half a percentage point to 81.3% of available capacity in June but remained well above its long-run average.

• The Australian PSI® indicated expansion in six of nine sub-sectors in June (trend). The predominantly business-oriented sub-sectors such as property, finance and transport reported solid demand from customers in construction and manufacturing; while the health sector also reported positive results.

• The more discretionary, mainly consumer-oriented sub-sectors continued to remain relatively weak in June. Retail trade contracted again, while hospitality was stable (trend). Businesses in these sub-sectors continue to report cautious discretionary spending due to rising costs and tighter disposable incomes.

Led by:

Dubious.

Advertisement
About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.