Major banks ready to hike mortgage interest rates

Via Australian Broker:

Over the last week ten institutions have changed their interest rates to home loan products, with a total of 53 product level changes recorded.

Explaining the changes in interest rates, Steve Mickenbecker, group executive, financial services, at Canstar, said, “We are seeing a classic bit of churn that tends to happen at the top or bottom of a market.

“It has only just started in the last month or two, and we’re quite a while from seeing the end of it. The upward pressure is mounting, and at the same time the banks want to hold some competitive rates in the market.

“With LIBOR and BBSW up 40 basis points in a month, it’s not surprising that we are seeing rate increases.

“The cost of wholesale funding is rising, which ultimately has to find its way through to home loan rates. At this stage it is the second-tier banks that have increased their variable rates by 8 to 10 basis points, not the big banks.

“The funding pressure sees some fixed rates rising, while other banks have moved down to maintain a competitive rate in the market for new business as they have increased their variable rates across the book for both the existing and new.”

While so far it has been the ‘second-tier’ banks changing variable rates, Mickenbecker said “big banks are under even more pressure”.

He added, “With around 80% of existing loans provided by the big four and the bulk in variable rates, any move in variable rates is going to flow through to most Australian borrowers.

“In the political world of banks through this Royal Commission, an increase is going to only increase the opprobrium. Westpac has moved interest only fixed rates up, reflecting that even the big lenders are feeling the funding pressure.

BBSW has eased a touch but is still hovering around 2%. It’s hike rates or warn on profits. I’m pretty sure I know which way they’ll go.

Comments

  1. “I sense something terrible has just happened. It’s as if a billion semis got up at once and screamed ‘Yo!’…. and then silence”

    • Tentacles will burst out from the sewers… Although for those with a tentacle fetish – it may seem like a month full of Sundays by then.

  2. My gut feel at present is that there will be no sweeping rescue to interest only borrowers, because the coming IR rises of say 2% are like going to I&P from IO.
    Its just not going to work, good money after bad.

      • I think that a point would be very painful for the over-leveraged, but I can’t see 2% rises either. Where does that come from? IO resets?

        I can still see a swan dive for Aussie real estate without 2%, but it will come from a combination of interest rates and the gutting of what’s left of the productive economy.