Coalition lies about cutting immigration

By Leith van Onselen

The Australian reports that Immigration Minister, Peter Dutton’s, “tough” vetting of migrants has slashed Australia’s permanent migrant intake:

The annual permanent migration intake has fallen by more than 10 per cent to less than 163,000, marking the lowest level for more than a decade on the back of a crackdown on fraudulent claims and a sharp rise in visa refusals under the government’s new integrity measures.

The Australian has confirmed that tougher vetting rules imposed by Home Affairs Minister Peter Dutton have cut 21,000 from the annual intake, returning it to levels last seen in 2007.

A report by the Department of Home Affairs has revealed the total number of people allowed under the migration program fell from 183,608 to 162,417 in a year, having hit a peak of 190,000 under the Rudd and ­Gillard governments.

The cut to the 2017-18 intake represents the largest single-year decrease in more than a decade…

The numbers show a drop of about 12,468 in the skilled migrant stream to 111,099 this year.

The largest fall was in the ­family stream — predominantly spousal visas — which was slashed by almost 15 per cent to 47,732 with a minor drop in special eligibility.

Here’s the chart:

Don’t get too excited: the permanent migrant intake has gone from ludicrously high to just ridiculously high, and remains more than double (100,000 above) the turn-of-the-century level.

Thus, this claimed 21,000 reduction is merely fiddling at the edges while our major cities’ liveability burns.

Moreover, at the same time as the Coalition has “slashed” the permanent migrant intake, it has ramped up bridging visas, where there has been a “mysteriously” large rise by more than 40,000 from a year ago, with bridging visas up around 90,000 since 2014:

So, the Government seems to be juking the migration stats with transitional visas.

This helps to explain why the 21,000 reduction in the permanent migrant intake contradicts the Federal Budget’s net overseas migration (NOM) projections, which forecast only an 8,000 reduction in NOM in 2018:

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  1. The 457/482 reforms have discouraged some of the student to working visa contingent with the 5 year requirement, but yeh it’s blatant coalition electioneering. I think its also a “see there is a reduction like we said so shut up about immigration and back to business as usual type deal.

    However, if they play the cut/reform immigration card hard and genuinely reform the program then Labor can’t win the election.

    That being said only a Recession or housing falter will sort immigration out naturally. Otherwise, tap on all the way for now.

  2. It probably has.

    Rumour is the “points” required for an invite has risen from 60 a couple of years ago to 70 now – which is quite hard to attain.

  3. Here’s another way of running a number-wang. They have “lost” the numbers of IT workers imported in the last year, hence they are excluded from the stats.

    Given that IT workers and engineers are counted together and make around 37% of the skilled migration numbers, this is around 43,000 people that have not been counted.

    Just lose the numbers and immigration is lower, because you can’t count them.

    • That’s amusing… means they can’t match the person coming in/going out to the details on their visa application. The visa application should indicate the nominated occupation(???) or can we nominate any occupation that suits a visa application to get in???.

  4. adelaide_economist

    The inability to specify the nationality of so many on bridging visas is either gross incompetence or deliberate hiding of something they don’t want average voters to see. If not specified is ‘all other’ how did it go up eight-fold in one year? Which do you think it might be? Hmmm.

      • adelaide_economist

        I probably don’t need any more bad luck at the moment but I’ll cop that 😉

      • Yes, very suspicious!!!
        Must be all those white South African farmers! LOL

        But it’s all electioneering so they can claim in big headlines to have cut immigration like most Aussies want & yet continue the ponzi as most people only have a passing interest and wouldn’t know a perm from a temp from a refugee, let alone a bridging visa!

  5. haroldusMEMBER

    Why has Nationality – “Not specified” gone from 4k to 35K?

    India and China both gone from 18k – 25K

    What’s going on?

    • Thats very interesting, isn’t it? As to whats going on, no idea, but chances are we are all getting buggered by whatever that particular instance of corruption is.

    • Perhaps some nationalities are more skilled at some things than others. According to the ABC a certain nationality made up only 0.11% of VICs population, but was responsible for 7.44% of home invasions, 5.65% of car thefts and 13.9% of aggravated robberies.

  6. Clearly the government is a bit spooked by certain economic numbers, jamming them in isn’t giving the economy the pump it used to, with housing falling now and credit becoming scarce, we will be inviting a lot of unemployed/homeless people into this country.

  7. The bridging visas are a ticking time bomb:

    When Shorten becomes PM, a huge number of men will be on bridging visas expecting a PR visa.

    • And who will they vote for, as presumably after PR they will apply for citizenships?

      Oh what a tangled web we weave when first we practice to deceive…

    • What, Australia only printed 162,417 new Medicare Cards in a year!! What a crisis – looks like I will be out of work soon. Better get the bike serviced for my new career delivering Uber Eats.

  8. The future version of Peter Dutton will be describing the Indian-Australian population in the same way current version Peter Dutton has described Lebanese-Australians.