Australian house prices fall for 10th consecutive month

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By Leith van Onselen

CoreLogic’s dwelling price results are in for July, with another 0.62% decrease in values recorded over the month at the 5-city level:

It was the 10th consecutive monthly decline in home values, with values down a cumulative 3.0% over that period at the 5-city level:

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Quarterly values also fell another 1.1%:

Over the July quarter, values were down in Melbourne, Sydney and Perth but rose elsewhere:

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In the year to July, home values fell by 2.61% at the 5-city level, driven by Sydney (-5.39%):

The next chart, which tracks trend annual price growth, shows a weak trend across most markets, especially Sydney and Melbourne:

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The below chart tracks price growth on a quarterly basis, with Melbourne now the weakest market:

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Values are now 35.3% above the June 2010 peak at the 5-city level, driven almost entirely by massive growth in Sydney (+59.1%) and to a lesser extent Melbourne (+41.2%), whereas the other major capitals have not done a lot (down in real inflation-adjusted terms):

The above data confirms that Sydney and Melbourne have entered a housing correction, with the situation appearing to deteriorate in July.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.