May APRA banking statistics are out and investor mortgages are still slowing. Headline growth at the big eight banks drop to 0.8% year on year:
ANZ | CBA | MAC | NAB | WBC | BOQ | BEN | SUN | Total | |
May-18 | -0.7 | -4.8 | 6.9 | 2.3 | 5.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | -0.8 | 0.8 |
Apr-18 | -0.1 | -4.7 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 6.3 | 2.1 | 0.2 | -0.5 | 1.1 |
Mar-18 | 0.5 | -4.3 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
Feb-18 | 1.4 | -4.0 | -0.7 | 4.0 | 6.3 | 1.5 | -0.7 | -0.1 | 1.7 |
Jan-18 | 2.0 | -3.6 | -3.0 | 4.5 | 6.1 | -0.3 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 1.9 |
Dec-17 | 2.0 | -2.9 | -5.0 | 5.8 | 5.9 | -1.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.2 |
Nov-17 | 2.4 | -2.0 | -6.8 | 5.4 | 6.2 | -3.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 2.5 |
Oct-17 | 2.5 | -0.8 | -8.0 | 5.4 | 6.7 | -2.9 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 3.0 |
Sep-17 | 2.5 | -0.1 | -8.6 | 5.7 | 7.1 | -3.8 | 5.7 | 0.6 | 3.4 |
Aug-17 | 2.4 | 0.9 | -8.3 | 5.8 | 7.4 | -4.5 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 3.8 |
Jul-17 | 2.2 | 1.9 | -6.3 | 5.9 | 7.4 | -5.7 | 7.9 | 0.7 | 4.0 |
Jun-17 | 1.8 | 5.7 | -6.6 | 6.0 | 7.2 | -6.3 | 8.8 | -0.3 | 4.9 |
As monthly growth eked out a tiny gain:
ANZ | CBA | MAC | NAB | WBC | BOQ | BEN | SUN | Total | |
May-18 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | -0.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Apr-18 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 1.9 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | -2.8 | 0.0 |
Mar-18 | -0.4 | -0.1 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | -0.2 | 0.1 |
Feb-18 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 1.6 | -0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
Jan-18 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 1.3 | -0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
Dec-17 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | -0.2 | 0.3 |
Nov-17 | 0.2 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | -0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Oct-17 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
Sep-17 | 0.1 | -0.3 | -1.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -1.7 | 0.1 |
Aug-17 | -0.2 | -0.4 | -3.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | -0.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
Jul-17 | -0.1 | -3.0 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | -0.4 | -0.4 | 1.0 | -0.6 |
Jun-17 | 0.4 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | -0.5 | -0.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
There’s no real evidence that the royal commission has made things any worse for investors. The stall happened in the new year and the current pace is roughly unchanged. Here’s the aggregate chart:
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