Private capex outlook wilts

Thursday 31 May 2018

Private capex is out for the March QTR and is not so good:

This issue includes the sixth estimate (Estimate 6) for 2017-18 and the second estimate (Estimate 2) for 2018-19.

Estimate 6 for 2017-18 is $117,501m. This is 3.8% higher than Estimate 6 for 2016-17. Estimate 6 is 2.8% higher than Estimate 5 for 2017-18.

Estimate 2 for 2018-19 is $87,740m. This is 1.4% higher than Estimate 2 for 2017-18. Estimate 2 is 5.7% higher than Estimate 1 for 2018-19.

The key is Estimate 2 for 2018/19 which has faded nastily since Estimate 1:

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About the author

David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.