Essential poll: Coalition closes the gap

Advertisement

Via The Guardian:

Voters are more attracted to Bill Shorten’s tax and economic plans than Malcolm Turnbull’s but the contest between the major parties appears to be tightening, according to the latest Guardian Essential poll.

The new survey of 1,025 voters found 45% of the sample backed Shorten’s tax plan outlined in budget week compared with 33% supporting the Coalition’s seven-year income tax package.

Similarly, 44% of the sample supported Labor’s approach increasing spending on health and education while giving a tax cut to low and middle-income earners, with 38% supporting the Coalition’s approach, which is to give both companies and workers a tax cut.

But the gap between the major parties has narrowed over the past fortnight on the two-party preferred measure. Labor still leads the Turnbull government on the head-to-head contest, but on 51% to 49%, which is the first time the gap has been that close since November 2016.

Last week, Labor was ahead of the Coalition 52% to 48%, and the week before that Labor was ahead 53% to 47%, which was the same result as the two previous fortnightly surveys. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 3 points.

Still looks vague to me.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.