Industry Super: Once per century property bust imminent

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Via the AFR:

Unsustainably high housing prices put Australia’s economy “at the precipice” of a once-in-a-century bust if global borrowing costs rise more than 150 basis points, warns Industry Super Australia, the peak body for industry super funds.

Housing prices in Melbourne and Sydney rose to nearly seven times average weekly earnings last year from four times in 2000 even as real bond yields – a proxy for lending costs – more than halved, and a country of highly indebted households would suffer if interest rates rose, ISA’s chief economist Stephen Anthony said.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.